
'Don't fall for the BD hype,' says
the HD DVD front man
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"Don't
fall for the BD hype," says Olivier
Van Wynendaele, the HD DVD Promotion Group Europe's front man, in
the group's weekly Industry Bulletin.
With recent developments in Hollywood, there have been claims made
that the format war is over and that consumers have made their choice.
While HD DVD supporters like Toshiba have always believed that the
consumer will decide who wins the format war, in reality when the
total high definition optical business represents less than one percent
of total DVD sales, it really is far too early to declare a winner.
In fact, the reality is a little more complex. Our own research and
analysis confirms that the average consumer on the street is pretty
happy with the quality of their DVDs and the ability of HDTVs to ‘upscale’
a standard definition image. When they visit their retailer, they
opt for up-scaling players rather than going with full HD. There is
also considerable misunderstanding when it comes to how the two formats
are performing.
On the Blu-ray side, the PS3 has been marketed as the principal playback
device for Blu-ray movies, which appears to give Blu-ray a considerable
advantage, but look closer. If you move away from the overhyped claims
and closely examine the ‘attach rates’ – which is
the information that the studios really track – Blu-ray still
cannot achieve one software unit per player sold. This low attach
rate does appear to challenge the Blu-ray claim that the PS3 is a
primary movie playback device.
In contrast, HD DVD has enjoyed a consistent tie rate of movies to
players of 3.5 movies to one player.
Despite the early stage of HD DVD adoption, we have also seen significant
success for the format across Europe. By the end of 2007, HD DVD’s
accumulated share of the high definition standalone player market
exceeded 60 per cent of the overall market. In the fourth quarter
of 2007 alone, HD DVD doubled its European installed base of players.
Since the recent price repositioning, Toshiba has also seen a resurgence
in its European sales and we believe that the value offered by HD
DVD will continue to attract consumers despite recent Hollywood events.
Consumers are purchasing HD DVD players in increasing numbers, and
local and Hollywood studios are producing new titles to support the
additional hardware sales momentum. To illustrate, there will be around
100 new HD DVD titles released in Europe this year from a range of
content providers and given the absence of region encoding restrictions,
consumers will be able to enjoy this content wherever they are.
There is another interesting dimension to the HD DVD story that plays
uniquely in Europe – the reliance on local content and it is
here where HD DVD maintains a considerable advantage across the production
value chain.
In countries like France, over half of all the content produced is
for the local markets. Local studios and content providers are looking
for the format that best suits the local environment. HD DVD has over
20 authoring labs in Europe, which have produced over 150 local titles
so far. Compared to Blu-ray’s ten authoring labs and less than
80 local titles, HD DVD offers the industry the best route into to
producing content on HD DVD.
With mandatory features that were agreed back in July 2005, consumers
are assured of certain features in every player – permanent
connection to the internet, onboard storage and picture in picture
in-movie experiences. This gives the consumer confidence that whichever
player they choose, they are assured of a consistent, positive experience.
HD DVD also delivers the web-enabled features that the competition
can still not offer.
HD DVD is still standing, and the format war is not over yet. HD DVD
continues to see strong support in the European market, increasing
sales of HD DVD players and continued interest in the format from
the industry and consumers. HD DVD will continue to market and produce
the format as long as there is a demand in the marketplace.
Olivier Van Wynendaele, is Assistant General Manager, Consumer Products
Division, Toshiba UK.
Story filed 11 February 2008
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